“the results reveal a view among experts that AI systems will probably (over 50%) reach overall human ability by 2040-50. From reaching human ability, it will move on to superintelligence in 30 years (75%) thereafter. The experts say the probability is 31% that this development turns out to be ‘bad’ or ‘extremely bad’ for humanity.
”
“they suggest that it may be reasonable to believe that human-level machine intelligence has a fairly sizeable chance of being developed by mid-century”
